As the Dalai Lama has announced the institution will continue after him, China is set to intensify efforts to delegitimise the Tibetan movement and arm-twist nations into toeing its line. China has the Taiwan template that it is expected to deploy.
At one point, around 100 countries recognised Taiwan, but most of them switched recognition to the People’s Republic of China (PRC) over the years. Since 2019, five countries have switched recognition from Taiwan to PRC, leaving just a handful of countries that still recognise the self-ruled island.
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The driver behind such a shift has been China’s economic and military might. China has...





